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Paper

Technical whitepaper

A formal model of Quiver as a control plane between probabilistic agents and deterministic financial rails: what the interface makes true, what it only bounds, and what has to be measured against live markets.

A Control Plane for Autonomous On-Chain Agents is the working paper behind the system these docs describe. It treats an agent as a constrained state machine and separates the properties that follow from the interface — confirmation gates, idempotent launches, whitelist-bounded transfers, budget-bounded reasoning, deterministic fee accounting — from the ones that stay empirical: model quality, liquidity, price impact, venue liveness, and whether any of it is profitable. 16 pages, working paper v1.0, 19 September 2026.

How to read a claim

Every statement in the paper carries one of three labels, and they are not interchangeable.

LabelMeaningExample
InvariantFollows from a correctly implemented interface or state transition.A transfer destination is in the agent whitelist.
BoundA maximum derived from explicit configuration.Hosted reasoning spend cannot exceed the run budget plus metering granularity.
CriterionMust be measured against live markets or services.Quoted output stays above a minimum after fees and slippage.

A transaction can be safely authorized and still economically poor; a profitable strategy can still hold unsafe authority. The paper argues the two axes should be judged separately.

Contents

  • System objective and boundaries — the trust boundary, and why model output is data rather than authority.
  • Architecture and state model — the agent tuple, the four capability surfaces (MCP, REST, hosted runtime, automation worker), and the venue abstraction over Pons, V4, and V3.
  • Wallet authority and custody — destination reachability under a whitelist, transfer-at-risk, and what a whitelist deliberately does not cap.
  • Intent, confirmation, and idempotency — binding a confirmation to a canonical action digest, and duplicate suppression under an Idempotency-Key.
  • Execution and routing mathematics — quote decomposition, price impact, the slippage floor, route selection, and quote freshness.
  • Pons launches and creator-fee economics — the bonding-curve integral, fee accrual as a function of turnover, and a break-even criterion.
  • Autonomous runs and budget bounds — loop semantics, metering, and why a credit budget is not an on-chain notional cap.
  • Automations as timed state machines — DCA, limit, and sniper bounds under at-least-once workers.
  • Marketplace transfer semantics — atomic sale, credit conservation, snapshot ambiguity, and seller-era authority.
  • Reliability, observability, and failure domains — staged success, the identifiers each layer owes, and the reconciliation equation.
  • Security model and risk register — threats, controls, and the residual risk each control leaves behind.
  • Operating criteria and verification plan — pass conditions and economic quality metrics a deployment should publish.
  • Limitations and conclusions, plus notation and public sources.

A few results

  • Duplicate suppression. If the key-to-request mapping is durable and checked before side effects, any number of retries with the same idempotency key produces at most one launch.
  • Execution floor. If a settlement reverts below y_min = y_quote(1 - s/10,000), a successful swap returns at least y_min — bounding slippage against the quote, not against fair value.
  • Turnover dependence. Under a constant fee rate and share, cumulative creator fees are F = alpha * tau * V: revenue tracks eligible turnover, not price direction.
  • Run spend. With pre-debited reservations, hosted reasoning spend stays within the budget; charge after the fact and the bound loosens by one step.

What the paper is not

It is not an audit, investment advice, or a promise of returns. It models the system as documented, so the claims labelled invariant become deployment claims only once contract addresses, custody design, and verification artifacts are inspected against production.